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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Hull City |
66.49% ( -0.11) | 19.69% ( 0.11) | 13.81% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.38% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.81% ( -0.45) | 44.18% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.44% ( -0.44) | 66.56% ( 0.44) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.61% ( -0.17) | 12.39% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.74% ( -0.35) | 38.26% ( 0.35) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.37% ( -0.27) | 43.63% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.18% ( -0.22) | 79.82% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Hull City |
2-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.21% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 66.48% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.69% | 0-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.39% Total : 13.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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