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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Hull logo

Leeds
3 - 1
Hull City

Byram (9'), Summerville (88' pen.), James (90+7')
Firpo (27'), Summerville (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carvalho (34')
Tufan (54'), Michael Seri (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Stoke
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Hull City

At some point, this Hull side may click back into gear given the quality that they have in the final third. However, this is the worst possible game for them at this stage, and we do not see them challenging a relentless Leeds side at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 13.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawHull City
66.49% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11) 19.69% (0.105 0.11) 13.81% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.38% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.81% (-0.452 -0.45)44.18% (0.449 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44% (-0.441 -0.44)66.56% (0.438 0.44)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)12.39% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.74% (-0.348 -0.35)38.26% (0.346 0.35)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.37% (-0.27 -0.27)43.63% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.18% (-0.224 -0.22)79.82% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 66.48%
    Hull City 13.81%
    Draw 19.69%
Leeds UnitedDrawHull City
2-0 @ 11.78% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.79% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.48% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 66.48%
1-1 @ 9.36% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 19.69%
0-1 @ 4.48% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.86% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 13.81%

How you voted: Leeds vs Hull City

Leeds United
86.6%
Draw
9.3%
Hull City
4.1%
97
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Hull City
0-0
Leeds
Rosenior (0'), Twine (54'), Connolly (69'), Philogene-Bidace (80')
Rodon (43'), Ampadu (52'), Ayling (90+1'), Ayling (90')
Rodon (60')
Sep 16, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
1-1
Hull City
Hull City win 9-8 on penalties
Alioski (90+3')
Alioski (45+1')
Wilks (5')
Scott (90+2')
Feb 29, 2020 12.30pm
Dec 10, 2019 7.45pm
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 25
Leeds
0-2
Hull City

Forshaw (48'), Phillips (61'), Jansson (74')
Bowen (25', 58')
Kane (47'), Grosicki (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland149322391430
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd149321871128
3Leeds UnitedLeeds147522291326
4Burnley136521761123
5Millwall146441712522
6Watford147162222022
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
8Middlesbrough146351816221
9Swansea CitySwansea14545119219
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn145451616019
11Bristol City144731819-119
12Norwich CityNorwich144642320318
13Derby CountyDerby145361818018
14Stoke CityStoke145361718-118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds145361724-718
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd144551717017
17Coventry CityCoventry144371819-115
18Hull City143651518-315
19Luton TownLuton144371621-515
20Preston North EndPreston143651420-615
21Cardiff CityCardiff144371320-715
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth144371425-1115
23Queens Park RangersQPR141761223-1110
24Portsmouth141671327-149


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