We say: Southampton 2-0 Coventry City
Coventry have lacked consistency in recent weeks, winning three, losing three and drawing one in their last seven matches, and it remains to be seen which side will turn up at St Mary's.
The visitors will need to be on top of their game if they are to cause an upset this weekend; however, Southampton should have enough quality in their side to secure a routine win on home soil.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%).
