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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Burnley |
50.18% ( -0.07) | 24.06% ( -0.01) | 25.75% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 55.54% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.85% ( 0.11) | 46.15% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.55% ( 0.1) | 68.45% ( -0.1) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.56% ( 0.01) | 18.43% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.39% ( 0.02) | 49.61% ( -0.02) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.1% ( 0.13) | 31.9% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.65% ( 0.14) | 68.34% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.41% 3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 50.18% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 25.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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