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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Oxford United

Coventry
3 - 2
Oxford Utd

Wright (15', 90+6'), van Ewijk (31')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Brown (22'), Harris (55')
Bennett (16'), Goodrham (59'), Harris (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Coventry City 2-1 Oxford United

Confidence is certainly on a high at Oxford and we expect the division newcomers to give another solid account of themselves here. Nevertheless, we are backing Coventry to edge what should be a competitive fixture, potentially by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawOxford United
41.31% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 24.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 34.45% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.14% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.59% (0.061 0.06)42.41% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.18% (0.058999999999997 0.06)64.82% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (0.055999999999997 0.06)20.68% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (0.085000000000001 0.09)53.27% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)58.5% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 41.31%
    Oxford United 34.45%
    Draw 24.23%
Coventry CityDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.21% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.26% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 41.31%
1-1 @ 11.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.45%

How you voted: Coventry vs Oxford Utd

Coventry City
64.9%
Draw
11.7%
Oxford United
23.4%
94
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 12.30pm
Third Round
Coventry
6-2
Oxford Utd
Latibeaudiere (8'), Sheaf (11'), Palmer (17'), O'Hare (50' pen.), Godden (84', 88')
Sheaf (90+1')
Harris (10'), Goodrham (79')
Brannagan (15'), Rodrigues (30'), McEachran (32')
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Oxford Utd
0-2
Coventry
Panzo (30', 59')
Apr 13, 2020 3pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Oxford Utd
3-3
Coventry
Mackie (64'), Dabo (85' og.), Moore (94')
Dickie (41'), Forde (62'), Ruffels (67'), Mackie (96')
Westbrooke (35'), Godden (56'), O'Hare (91')
Shipley (29'), Westbrooke (74')
Mar 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Coventry
0-1
Oxford Utd
Nelson (57')
Browne (45'), Graham (45'), Garbutt (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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