MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 10:52:14| >> :60:7:7:
Oxford United
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Southampton logo

Oxford Utd
2 - 0
Southampton

Harris (35'), Rodrigues (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Oxford United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Montpellier
Saturday, July 27 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Southampton

Oxford Utd have been far from impressive in their five friendly fixtures to date, while the Saints have secured convincing victories in each of their pre-season matches, suggesting the visitors will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawSouthampton
32.79% (0.0020000000000024 0) 24.3% (0.0059999999999967 0.01) 42.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.41% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.84% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)43.15% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.45% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)65.55% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)25.49% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)60.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.73% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)20.27% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.38% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)52.62% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 32.79%
    Southampton 42.91%
    Draw 24.3%
Oxford UnitedDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 7.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 32.79%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 8.25% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 42.91%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Southampton

Oxford United
18.2%
Draw
9.1%
Southampton
72.7%
22
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