MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 09:59:25| >> :60:331:331:
Southampton logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 at 10am UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Montpellier

Southampton
3 - 1
Montpellier

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Southampton and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bordeaux 2-3 Southampton
Wednesday, July 24 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Girona 3-3 Montpellier
Saturday, July 20 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Southampton 3-2 Montpellier HSC

Southampton's pre-season friendlies have seen plenty of goals, so expect a similarly exciting match on Saturday. Considering that Montpellier have only played one pre-season game so far, their energy levels might be a tier below the Saints' and this disparity should see Martin's side come into the clash as favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawMontpellier HSC
62.77% (-0.424 -0.42) 19.04% (0.139 0.14) 18.19% (0.276 0.28)
Both teams to score 62.35% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.75% (-0.19999999999999 -0.2)32.25% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.14% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)53.86% (0.222 0.22)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.1% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)9.89% (0.1531 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.22% (-0.366 -0.37)32.78% (0.357 0.36)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (0.161 0.16)30.8% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (0.191 0.19)67.07% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 62.77%
    Montpellier HSC 18.19%
    Draw 19.04%
SouthamptonDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.4% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.05% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.29% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 4.28% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.64% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.98% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.68% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 62.77%
1-1 @ 8.3% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.034 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.05% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 19.04%
1-2 @ 4.89% (0.062 0.06)
0-1 @ 3.59% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.11% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 18.19%

How you voted: Southampton vs Montpellier

Southampton
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Montpellier HSC
6.3%
16
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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