MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 08:19:51| >> :60:340:340:
Southampton logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 at 10am UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Montpellier

Southampton
3 - 1
Montpellier

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Southampton and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bordeaux 2-3 Southampton
Wednesday, July 24 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Girona 3-3 Montpellier
Saturday, July 20 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Southampton 3-2 Montpellier HSC

Southampton's pre-season friendlies have seen plenty of goals, so expect a similarly exciting match on Saturday. Considering that Montpellier have only played one pre-season game so far, their energy levels might be a tier below the Saints' and this disparity should see Martin's side come into the clash as favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawMontpellier HSC
62.77% (-0.424 -0.42) 19.04% (0.139 0.14) 18.19% (0.276 0.28)
Both teams to score 62.35% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.75% (-0.19999999999999 -0.2)32.25% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.14% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)53.86% (0.222 0.22)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.1% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)9.89% (0.1531 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.22% (-0.366 -0.37)32.78% (0.357 0.36)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (0.161 0.16)30.8% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (0.191 0.19)67.07% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 62.77%
    Montpellier HSC 18.19%
    Draw 19.04%
SouthamptonDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.4% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.05% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.29% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 4.28% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.64% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.98% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.68% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 62.77%
1-1 @ 8.3% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.034 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.05% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 19.04%
1-2 @ 4.89% (0.062 0.06)
0-1 @ 3.59% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.11% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 18.19%

How you voted: Southampton vs Montpellier

Southampton
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Montpellier HSC
6.3%
16
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Packers
@
Bears
6pm
Raiders
@
Dolphins
6pm
Colts
@
Jets
6pm
Jags
@
Lions
6pm
Rams
@
Patriots
6pm
Browns
@
Saints
6pm
Ravens
@
Steelers
6pm
Vikings
@
Titans
9.05pm
Seahawks
@
49ers
9.05pm
Falcons
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!