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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 59.64%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 20.38% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Southampton |
59.64% ( 0.91) | 19.98% ( 0.1) | 20.38% ( -1.01) |
Both teams to score 62.9% ( -2.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.69% ( -1.98) | 33.31% ( 1.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.92% ( -2.3) | 55.08% ( 2.3) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.01% ( -0.37) | 10.99% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.74% ( -0.82) | 35.26% ( 0.83) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.67% ( -2.04) | 29.33% ( 2.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.69% ( -2.58) | 65.31% ( 2.58) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.57) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.62) 3-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.09% Total : 59.64% | 1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.98% | 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.05% Total : 20.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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