MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 12:51:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Southampton logo
Championship | 2nd Leg
May 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
West Brom logo

Southampton
3 - 1
West Brom

Smallbone (49'), Armstrong (78', 86' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kipre (90+7')
Mowatt (75'), Swift (82'), Kipre (89'), M'Vila (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Southampton claim a comfortable 3-1 win over West Bromwich Albion to seal their place in the Championship playoff final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Southampton and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Southampton
Sunday, May 12 at 2.15pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Southampton
Sunday, May 12 at 2.15pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawWest Bromwich Albion
54.82% (-0.177 -0.18) 22.32% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.85% (0.152 0.15)
Both teams to score 58.13% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.79% (0.061 0.06)41.21% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.39% (0.061 0.06)63.6% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.03% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)14.97% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.6% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)43.4% (0.07 0.07)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (0.163 0.16)31.63% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (0.188 0.19)68.04% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 54.82%
    West Bromwich Albion 22.85%
    Draw 22.32%
SouthamptonDrawWest Bromwich Albion
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.99% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.54% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 54.82%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 22.85%

How you voted: Southampton vs West Brom

Southampton
72.7%
Draw
11.7%
West Bromwich Albion
15.6%
231
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 33
West Brom
0-2
Southampton

Thomas-Asante (44'), Yokuslu (50')
Corberan (45')
Fraser (14'), Brooks (73')
Smallbone (55')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Southampton
2-1
West Brom
Smallbone (5'), Armstrong (79')
Downes (36'), Martin (37'), Holgate (43'), Alcaraz (86')
Bartley (65')
Apr 12, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 31
West Brom
3-0
Southampton
Pereira (32' pen.), Phillips (35'), Robinson (69')
Oct 4, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 4
Southampton
2-0
West Brom
Djenepo (41'), Romeu (69')
Djenepo (50'), Walker-Peters (53')

Livermore (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!