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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
West Brom logo

Southampton
2 - 1
West Brom

Smallbone (5'), Armstrong (79')
Downes (36'), Martin (37'), Holgate (43'), Alcaraz (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bartley (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions
Last Game: West Brom 3-1 Hull City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 1-0 West Bromwich Albion

 Southampton have shown attacking quality and fighting spirit in equal measure during their current unbeaten run, and the Saints will be confident of extending their streak against a West Brom side who are not always effective on the road. The Baggies are doing a commendable job of chasing down promotion despite the ongoing issues at the club, but we believe that they will leave St Mary's with a loss on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawWest Bromwich Albion
36.19% (0.054000000000002 0.05) 25.79% (0.363 0.36) 38.02% (-0.422 -0.42)
Both teams to score 54.94% (-1.263 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.74% (-1.625 -1.63)49.26% (1.62 1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68% (-1.482 -1.48)71.31% (1.477 1.48)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (-0.729 -0.73)26.39% (0.726 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (-0.981 -0.98)61.54% (0.976 0.98)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (-0.97 -0.97)25.36% (0.964 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (-1.346 -1.35)60.15% (1.341 1.34)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 36.19%
    West Bromwich Albion 38.02%
    Draw 25.79%
SouthamptonDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.401 0.4)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 36.19%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.431 0.43)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.18% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.3% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.84% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.02%

How you voted: Southampton vs West Brom

Southampton
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
West Bromwich Albion
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 12, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 31
West Brom
3-0
Southampton
Pereira (32' pen.), Phillips (35'), Robinson (69')

Ward-Prowse (37')
> Match Report
Oct 4, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 4
Southampton
2-0
West Brom
Djenepo (41'), Romeu (69')
Djenepo (50'), Walker-Peters (53')

Livermore (26')
> Match Report
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Fifth Round
West Brom
1-2
Southampton
Rondon (58')
Krychowiak (30'), McClean (42')
Hoedt (11'), Tadic (56')
Carrillo (45'), Lemina (75')
> Match Report
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
West Brom
2-3
Southampton
Hegazi (4'), Rondon (72')
Barry (22'), Phillips (92')
Lemina (40'), Stephens (43'), Ward-Prowse (55')
Bertrand (92')
> Match Report
Oct 21, 2017 5.30pm
Southampton
1-0
West Brom
Boufal (85')

Chadli (67')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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