Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton2 - 1West Brom
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 3-1 Hull City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Southampton 1-0 West Bromwich Albion
Southampton have shown attacking quality and fighting spirit in equal measure during their current unbeaten run, and the Saints will be confident of extending their streak against a West Brom side who are not always effective on the road. The Baggies are doing a commendable job of chasing down promotion despite the ongoing issues at the club, but we believe that they will leave St Mary's with a loss on Saturday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
36.19% ( 0.05) | 25.79% ( 0.36) | 38.02% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 54.94% ( -1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.74% ( -1.63) | 49.26% ( 1.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.68% ( -1.48) | 71.31% ( 1.48) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( -0.73) | 26.39% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.46% ( -0.98) | 61.54% ( 0.98) |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.64% ( -0.97) | 25.36% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.85% ( -1.35) | 60.15% ( 1.34) |
| Score Analysis |
Southampton 36.19%
West Bromwich Albion 38.02%
Draw 25.79%
| Southampton | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
| 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.24% Total : 36.19% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.02% |
How you voted: Southampton vs West Brom
Southampton
87.5%Draw
6.3%West Bromwich Albion
6.3%16
Head to Head
Apr 12, 2021 6pm
Oct 4, 2020 12pm
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Fifth Round
West Brom
1-2
Southampton
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Oct 21, 2017 5.30pm
Form Guide
