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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol City in this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Swansea City |
38.89% ( 0.17) | 26.01% ( 0.29) | 35.1% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 54.08% ( -1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.68% ( -1.3) | 50.32% ( 1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.74% ( -1.17) | 72.26% ( 1.17) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.63% ( -0.5) | 25.37% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.83% ( -0.7) | 60.17% ( 0.7) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.47% ( -0.89) | 27.53% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.96% ( -1.16) | 63.04% ( 1.17) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.89% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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