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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Arouca

Porto
4 - 0
Arouca

Omorodion (47'), Gonzalez (51'), Galeno (57'), Gul (85')
Varela (35'), Mora Carvalho (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Yalcin (32'), Sylla (32')
Yalcin (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 3-2 Porto
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Farense 0-1 Arouca
Sunday, September 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-0 Arouca

 Despite what might have played out in the previous season, Porto are backed to inflict Arouca's fifth league loss this term to pile more misery on an injury-afflicted opponent and record their fifth consecutive top-flight victory at the Dragao since the backend of last season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.36%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.29%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawArouca
77.36% (1.219 1.22) 14.31% (-0.514 -0.51) 8.34% (-0.701 -0.7)
Both teams to score 49.04% (-1.283 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.58% (0.037000000000006 0.04)34.42% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.67% (0.042000000000002 0.04)56.34% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.76% (0.261 0.26)7.25% (-0.2569 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.74% (0.673 0.67)26.26% (-0.668 -0.67)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.87% (-1.533 -1.53)47.14% (1.539 1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.41% (-1.18 -1.18)82.59% (1.184 1.18)
Score Analysis
    Porto 77.35%
    Arouca 8.34%
    Draw 14.31%
PortoDrawArouca
2-0 @ 11.76% (0.29 0.29)
3-0 @ 10.29% (0.384 0.38)
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.104 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-1 @ 7.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6.76% (0.341 0.34)
4-1 @ 5.08% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 3.55% (0.223 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.143 -0.14)
5-1 @ 2.67% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.067 -0.07)
6-0 @ 1.55% (0.118 0.12)
6-1 @ 1.17% (0.041 0.04)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 77.35%
1-1 @ 6.74% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.211 -0.21)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 14.31%
0-1 @ 2.57% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-2 @ 2.54% (-0.197 -0.2)
0-2 @ 0.97% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 8.34%

How you voted: Porto vs Arouca

Porto
97.6%
Draw
0.0%
Arouca
2.4%
42
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 21
Arouca
3-2
Porto
Mujica (1'), Cristo (30' pen.), Jason (60')
Santos (39'), Jason (63'), Busquets (74')
Evanilson (9' pen.), Conceicao (86')
Cardoso (69'), Conceicao (88'), Wendell (88')
Cardoso (90+6')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 4
Porto
1-1
Arouca
Evanilson (90+19')
Cardoso (26'), Evanilson (57'), Varela (58')
Cristo (84')
De Arruabarrena (63'), Montero (85'), Ramos (90+18')
> Preview
May 8, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 31
Arouca
0-1
Porto
Marcano (44')
> Preview
Jan 11, 2023 8.45pm
Round of 16
Porto
4-0
Arouca
Galeno (31'), Martinez (54', 57', 90+3')
Dec 28, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 14
Porto
5-1
Arouca
Otavio (1'), Taremi (18', 34', 50'), Opoku (70' og.)
Bruninho (75')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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