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Moreirense
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Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Porto

Guimaraes
0 - 3
Porto


Mendes (28'), Varela (37'), Silva (37'), Gaspar (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Omorodion (47', 58'), Pepe (88')
Omorodion (26'), Varela (45'), Eustaquio (64'), Perez (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 0-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, September 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Farense
Sunday, September 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-3 Porto

 While Guimaraes have put together a fine run of form, they have their work cut out against a stacked Porto side who have won 16 of their last 17 matches in all competitions. Bruno's men boast a solid away record in this fixture, and given the gulf in quality between the two teams, we are backing them to come away with all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Porto had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Porto win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPorto
40.63% (1.384 1.38) 27.44% (0.253 0.25) 31.93% (-1.642 -1.64)
Both teams to score 48.85% (-1.195 -1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.36% (-1.314 -1.31)56.64% (1.31 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.39% (-1.067 -1.07)77.61% (1.064 1.06)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64% (0.14800000000001 0.15)27.35% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.19% (0.194 0.19)62.81% (-0.198 -0.2)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (-1.788 -1.79)32.75% (1.785 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (-2.044 -2.04)69.3% (2.041 2.04)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 40.63%
    Porto 31.93%
    Draw 27.43%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPorto
1-0 @ 11.61% (0.62 0.62)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.084 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.53% (0.432 0.43)
3-1 @ 3.63% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.25% (0.199 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.63%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.441 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.186 -0.19)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 10% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.272 -0.27)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 31.93%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Porto

Vitoria de Guimaraes
15.4%
Draw
15.4%
Porto
69.2%
39
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2024 8.15pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Porto
3-1
Guimaraes
Taremi (26' pen.), Conceicao (45+5'), Pepe (75')
Taremi (55')
Freitas (1')
Silva (16'), Borevkovic (25'), Silva (35'), Silva (44'), Gaspar (72')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 28
Porto
1-2
Guimaraes
Galeno (44')
Wendell (37'), Mario (63')
Pepe (69')
Galeno (12' og.), Silva (33')
Freitas (45+1'), Freitas (53'), Ribeiro (62'), Silva (72'), Mendes (75'), Varela (89'), Oliveira (89')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2024 8.15pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Guimaraes
0-1
Porto

Mendes (58'), Borevkovic (71'), Cesar (79')
Pepe (52')
Sanchez (45+8'), Otavio (56'), Wendell (80')
> Preview
Nov 11, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Guimaraes
1-2
Porto
Silva (17')
Silva (27'), Silva (72'), Silva (90+5')
Sanusi (39'), Conceicao (59')
Conceicao (26'), Galeno (85'), Sanchez (90')
> Preview
May 27, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 34
Porto
3-0
Guimaraes
Taremi (8'), Otavio (32'), Evanilson (39')
Otavio (72'), Uribe (87')

Silva (40'), Freitas (44'), Tounkara (62'), Silva (71'), Sa (72'), Indio (89')
Handel (2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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