MX23RW : Saturday, May 18 09:49:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Arouca
vs.
Guimaraes

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 5-0 Arouca
Sunday, May 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-3 Braga
Saturday, May 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We say: Arouca 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Still licking their wounds from their defeat against Braga, Vitoria de Guimaraes will head into the weekend looking to pick up a morale-boosting result and end the season on a high. However, Arouca have rock-solid at home of late and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes has a probability of 31.95% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.51%).

Result
AroucaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
43.44% (0.933 0.93) 24.61% (0.13 0.13) 31.95% (-1.065 -1.07)
Both teams to score 57.98% (-0.876 -0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.13% (-0.967 -0.97)44.87% (0.966 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.77% (-0.938 -0.94)67.23% (0.93599999999999 0.94)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (0.021000000000001 0.02)20.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.63% (0.027999999999999 0.03)53.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (-1.124 -1.12)26.84% (1.123 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85% (-1.504 -1.5)62.14% (1.503 1.5)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 43.44%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 31.95%
    Draw 24.6%
AroucaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.098999999999998 0.1)
1-0 @ 8.76% (0.364 0.36)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.154 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.44%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.57% (0.228 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.6%
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-1 @ 7.32% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 31.95%

Who will win Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Guimaraes?

Arouca
Draw
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
20.0%
Draw
40.0%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 17
Guimaraes
2-1
Arouca
Silva (45'), Silva (64')
Pacheco (32')
Jason (8')
Montero (31'), Jason (40'), Trezza (90+3')
Mar 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 24
Guimaraes
0-2
Arouca
Mujica (50'), Antony (77')
Sep 18, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 7
Arouca
2-2
Guimaraes
Bukia (33'), Quaresma (70')
Silva (57'), Lameiras (90+12' pen.)
Feb 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 23
Guimaraes
1-3
Arouca
Estupinan (26')
Luz (67'), Quaresma (80'), Janvier (86'), Fernandes (88')
Basso (13'), Antony (35'), Bukia (41')
Kouassi (27'), Galovic (48'), Simao (70'), Silva (89')
Sep 18, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 6
Arouca
2-2
Guimaraes
Dabbagh (75'), Pite (90+4')
Bento Oleques (54')
Quaresma (7'), Silva (72')
Fernandes (23'), Quaresma (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3399154251-936
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


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