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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Arouca
1 - 3
Guimaraes

Cristo (39' pen.)
Kouassi (45+2'), Simao (64'), Borevkovic (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oliveira (50'), Thiago (53' og.), Silva (62')
Silva (33'), Silva (45+3'), Andre (72'), Lawal (82'), Ribeiro (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Benfica 5-0 Arouca
Sunday, May 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-3 Braga
Saturday, May 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

 Still licking their wounds from their defeat against Braga, Vitoria de Guimaraes will head into the weekend looking to pick up a morale-boosting result and end the season on a high. However, Arouca have rock-solid at home of late and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
43.44% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 24.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 31.95% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.98% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.13% (0.017000000000003 0.02)44.87% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.77% (0.016000000000005 0.02)67.23% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (0.0049999999999955 0)20.74% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)53.37% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.84% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)62.14% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 43.44%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 31.95%
    Draw 24.6%
AroucaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.44%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.6%
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.32% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 31.95%

How you voted: Arouca vs Guimaraes

Arouca
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 17
Guimaraes
2-1
Arouca
Silva (45'), Silva (64')
Pacheco (32')
Jason (8')
Montero (31'), Jason (40'), Trezza (90+3')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 24
Guimaraes
0-2
Arouca
Mujica (50'), Antony (77')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 7
Arouca
2-2
Guimaraes
Bukia (33'), Quaresma (70')
Silva (57'), Lameiras (90+12' pen.)
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 23
Guimaraes
1-3
Arouca
Estupinan (26')
Luz (67'), Quaresma (80'), Janvier (86'), Fernandes (88')
Basso (13'), Antony (35'), Bukia (41')
Kouassi (27'), Galovic (48'), Simao (70'), Silva (89')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 6
Arouca
2-2
Guimaraes
Dabbagh (75'), Pite (90+4')
Bento Oleques (54')
Quaresma (7'), Silva (72')
Fernandes (23'), Quaresma (37')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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