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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 4, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Rio Ave
2 - 1
Guimaraes

Joca (37'), Boateng (56')
Luiz (51'), Tanlongo (67'), Aderlan (80'), Graca (83'), Handel (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Santos (90+4')
Andre (24'), Maga (39'), Silva (45+1'), Borevkovic (70'), Gaspar (74'), Handel (86'), Graca (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 1-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, April 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Boavista
Saturday, April 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rio Ave 1-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes

With just three games left to go, Vitoria de Guimaraes must avoid any slip-ups if they are to leapfrog either Braga or Porto to a spot in Europe. Pacheco's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture and we see them coming away with all three points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
41.28% (0.128 0.13) 26.18% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 32.54% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 52.95% (-0.221 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.49% (-0.26 -0.26)51.51% (0.265 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.69% (-0.226 -0.23)73.31% (0.232 0.23)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)24.66% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)59.18% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (-0.244 -0.24)29.73% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21% (-0.3 -0.3)65.79% (0.30499999999999 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 41.28%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 32.54%
    Draw 26.18%
Rio AveDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 10.26% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.19% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.28%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.33% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.89% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.54%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Guimaraes

Rio Ave
0.0%
Draw
16.7%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
83.3%
6
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 15
Guimaraes
1-0
Rio Ave
Silva (63' pen.)
Ribeiro (20'), Borevkovic (30'), Varela (86'), Carlos (89')

Nobrega (26'), Aderlan (60'), Graca (69')
May 14, 2023 3.30pm
Jan 7, 2023 6pm
Feb 13, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 19
Guimaraes
1-3
Rio Ave
Quaresma (70')
Quaresma (58'), Fernandes (85')
Mane (23'), Camacho (32'), Gelson (74')
Pinto (88'), Amaral (89')
Sep 27, 2020 9pm
Gameweek 2
Rio Ave
0-0
Guimaraes
Aderlan (14'), Jambor (62')
Silvio (56'), Janvier (65'), Fernandes (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon55001921715
2Porto540193612
3Benfica531194510
4FamalicaoFamalicao531183510
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes43014229
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara53029819
7Braga42205238
8MoreirenseMoreirense521289-17
9AVS521267-17
10Gil Vicente513156-16
11Casa Pia520347-36
12Rio AveRio Ave520336-36
13Estoril PraiaEstoril512225-35
14BoavistaBoavista411212-14
15Nacional511349-54
16AroucaArouca510428-63
17Estrela Amadora401316-51
18SC FarenseFarense5005212-100


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