Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
41.28% ( 0.13) | 26.18% ( 0.05) | 32.54% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 52.95% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.49% ( -0.26) | 51.51% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.69% ( -0.23) | 73.31% ( 0.23) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.35% ( -0.05) | 24.66% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.82% ( -0.07) | 59.18% ( 0.08) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.27% ( -0.24) | 29.73% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.21% ( -0.3) | 65.79% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.28% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |