Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 17, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
1 - 2
Guimaraes

Hernandez (23')
Essugo (33'), Guimaraes (57'), Souza (60')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Silva (20'), Silva (63' pen.)
Oliveira (68'), Cesar (78'), Andre (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Chaves
Monday, March 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Famalicao
Saturday, March 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Chaves 1-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Vitoria notched up their biggest win of the season against this opponent in the reverse fixture and are carrying solid form into this contest. They have also beaten Chaves in each of their last five encounters, outscoring them 13-1 in that time, and we feel they will add another three points to their tally in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
22.85% ( 1.19)	24.35% ( 0.22)	52.8% ( -1.42)

Both teams to score 51.47% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.97% (

0.34)

50.02% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28% (

0.3)

72% (

-0.3)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.47% (

1.34)

36.53% (

-1.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.68% (

1.32)

73.32% (

-1.33)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.1% (

-0.42)

18.9% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.61% (

-0.7)

50.39% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Chaves 22.85%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 52.8%

Draw 24.35%

Chaves	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.79% Total : 22.85%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.35%	0-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 5.36% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 52.8%

How you voted: Chaves vs Guimaraes

Chaves

9.1%

Draw

9.1%

Vitoria de Guimaraes

81.8%

Head to Head

Oct 28, 2023 6pm

Gameweek 9

Guimaraes

5-0

Chaves

Mendes (3'), Handel (43'), Silva (45+2'), Silva (53'), Silva (90+1')

Ribeiro (21'), Nogueira (27')
Nogueira (44')

> Preview

Jan 30, 2023 8.15pm

Gameweek 18

Guimaraes

2-1

Chaves

Silva (18' pen.), Safira (90+7')

Abass (90+5')

> Preview

Aug 7, 2022 8.30pm

Gameweek 1

Chaves

0-1

Guimaraes

Pedro Fortes Bachiessa (16'), Monte (63')

Silva (45+3')
Villanueva (16'), Maga (18'), Bamba (23'), Sa (46'), Amaro (54'), Silva (82'), Varela (83'), Salgueiro Pains (90')
Semedo (82'), Salgueiro Pains (90+5')

> Preview

Apr 6, 2019 6pm

Gameweek 28

Guimaraes

4-0

Chaves

Wakaso (4'), Toze (11' pen.), Rochinha (36'), Guedes (80')

Bressan (65')

Dec 2, 2018 5.30pm

Gameweek 11

Chaves

0-1