MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 01:52:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Chaves
1 - 2
Guimaraes

Hernandez (23')
Essugo (33'), Guimaraes (57'), Souza (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Silva (20'), Silva (63' pen.)
Oliveira (68'), Cesar (78'), Andre (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Chaves
Monday, March 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Famalicao
Saturday, March 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes

 Vitoria notched up their biggest win of the season against this opponent in the reverse fixture and are carrying solid form into this contest. They have also beaten Chaves in each of their last five encounters, outscoring them 13-1 in that time, and we feel they will add another three points to their tally in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
ChavesDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
22.85% (1.194 1.19) 24.35% (0.224 0.22) 52.8% (-1.417 -1.42)
Both teams to score 51.47% (0.827 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.97% (0.34 0.34)50.02% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28% (0.304 0.3)72% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.47% (1.34 1.34)36.53% (-1.339 -1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.68% (1.324 1.32)73.32% (-1.325 -1.33)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1% (-0.416 -0.42)18.9% (0.417 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.61% (-0.698 -0.7)50.39% (0.698 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 22.85%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 52.8%
    Draw 24.35%
ChavesDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 6.95% (0.156 0.16)
2-1 @ 5.83% (0.261 0.26)
2-0 @ 3.5% (0.201 0.2)
3-1 @ 1.96% (0.155 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.18% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.85%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.156 0.16)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 11.5% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 9.58% (-0.394 -0.39)
1-3 @ 5.36% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 5.32% (-0.293 -0.29)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.22% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 52.8%

How you voted: Chaves vs Guimaraes

Chaves
9.1%
Draw
9.1%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
81.8%
11
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 9
Guimaraes
5-0
Chaves
Mendes (3'), Handel (43'), Silva (45+2'), Silva (53'), Silva (90+1')

Ribeiro (21'), Nogueira (27')
Nogueira (44')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 18
Guimaraes
2-1
Chaves
Silva (18' pen.), Safira (90+7')
Abass (90+5')
> Preview
Aug 7, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Chaves
0-1
Guimaraes

Pedro Fortes Bachiessa (16'), Monte (63')
Silva (45+3')
Villanueva (16'), Maga (18'), Bamba (23'), Sa (46'), Amaro (54'), Silva (82'), Varela (83'), Salgueiro Pains (90')
Semedo (82'), Salgueiro Pains (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 6, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 28
Guimaraes
4-0
Chaves
Wakaso (4'), Toze (11' pen.), Rochinha (36'), Guedes (80')

Bressan (65')
Dec 2, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Chaves
0-1
Guimaraes

Eustaquio (86')
Davidson (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!