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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Arouca

Chaves
1 - 5
Arouca

Guzzo (16')
Pius (38')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cristo (35'), Mujica (40', 49'), Jason (47'), Sylla (53')
Sylla (42'), Cristo (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Chaves
Saturday, February 24 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Arouca 3-2 Famalicao
Friday, February 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-2 Arouca

 Chaves have shown important signs of improvement in recent weeks and will be desperate to move within touching distance of safety with a home win on Friday, but they meet an Arouca side who are full of momentum and playing at their best, and we see the visitors being too strong and making it six wins from a seven-match span. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
ChavesDrawArouca
31.66% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02) 26.22% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 42.12% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.51% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (0.032999999999994 0.03)51.94% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.32% (0.029 0.03)73.68% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.47%30.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.75% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58% (0.031999999999996 0.03)24.42% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.15% (0.042999999999999 0.04)58.84% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 31.66%
    Arouca 42.12%
    Draw 26.22%
ChavesDrawArouca
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.66%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 10.51%
1-2 @ 8.79% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 4.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 42.12%

How you voted: Chaves vs Arouca

Chaves
20.7%
Draw
20.7%
Arouca
58.6%
29
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 7
Arouca
0-2
Chaves

Sylla (1'), Weverson (45+2'), Trezza (53')
Simao (45+3')
Hernandez (53' pen.), Correia (85')
Correia (35'), Souza (45+1'), Hernandez (53'), Guimaraes (64'), Nogueira (73')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 33
Arouca
1-0
Chaves
Sylla (63' pen.)
Ruiz (43'), Antony (45+3')

Guimaraes (13'), Obiora (72'), Cruz (78')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Chaves
1-1
Arouca
Vitoria (17' pen.)
Basso (79' pen.)
> Preview
Feb 18, 2017 4pm
Chaves
2-0
Arouca
Bressan (8'), Martins (80')
Queiros (67'), Martins (69')

Nelsinho (6'), Valente (88'), Velazquez (90')
Sep 18, 2016 4pm
Arouca
0-1
Chaves
Perdigao (44')
Martins (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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