Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca3 - 2Famalicao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, February 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Rio Ave
Friday, February 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, February 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Arouca 2-1 Famalicao
While Famalicao did manage to claim a much-needed morale-boosting victory last weekend, they have struggled on the road, winning just twice in 11 away games this term. Arouca, on the other hand, have won three of their last four on home soil, and we feel they will be able to edge this one as well. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Famalicao |
32.26% ( 0.02) | 26.62% ( 0.01) | 41.12% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.43% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.59% ( -0.05) | 53.41% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.06% ( -0.05) | 74.94% ( 0.04) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.13% ( -0.01) | 30.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.84% ( -0.02) | 67.16% ( 0.02) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( -0.04) | 25.6% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.52% ( -0.06) | 60.48% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Arouca 32.26%
Famalicao 41.11%
Draw 26.62%
| Arouca | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.26% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.11% |
How you voted: Arouca vs Famalicao
Arouca
78.6%Draw
14.3%Famalicao
7.1%28
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 6
Famalicao
1-0
Arouca
Apr 3, 2023 8.15pm
Oct 10, 2022 8.15pm
Aug 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 3
Arouca
2-1
Famalicao
Basso (66' pen.), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (89')
Manuel da Silva Moreira (57'), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (77'), Correa dos Santos (90+2'), Filipe Alves Araujo (90+5')
Manuel da Silva Moreira (57'), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (77'), Correa dos Santos (90+2'), Filipe Alves Araujo (90+5')
Rodrigues (23')
Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (31'), Batubinsika (47'), Miguel Lapa Ricardo (79'), Assuncao (90+3')
Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (31'), Batubinsika (47'), Miguel Lapa Ricardo (79'), Assuncao (90+3')
