Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Moreirense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moreirense.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Famalicao |
40.96% ( 0.02) | 26.32% | 32.71% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.53% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.93% ( -0.01) | 52.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.2% ( -0.01) | 73.79% ( 0.01) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% ( 0.01) | 25.07% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% ( 0.01) | 59.75% ( -0.01) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.1% ( -0.02) | 29.89% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34% ( -0.03) | 65.99% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.95% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 38 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
3 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
14 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
15 | Nacional | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 13 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |