Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Casa Pia1 - 0Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Casa Pia
Sunday, February 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Arouca 3-2 Porto
Monday, February 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, February 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Casa Pia 1-3 Arouca
Arouca have turned a corner in recent weeks and will be backing themselves against an out-of-sorts Casa Pia side. While we expect the hosts to put up a fight, we predict that the Arouquenses will pick up all three points at the Estadio Pina Manique. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Arouca |
30.32% ( -0.71) | 27.38% ( 0.02) | 42.3% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 48.41% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.08% ( -0.29) | 56.91% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.17% ( -0.24) | 77.83% ( 0.23) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.94% ( -0.67) | 34.05% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.26% ( -0.73) | 70.74% ( 0.73) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% ( 0.23) | 26.58% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.19% ( 0.31) | 61.8% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
Casa Pia 30.32%
Arouca 42.29%
Draw 27.38%
| Casa Pia | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.32% Total : 30.32% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.29% |
How you voted: Casa Pia vs Arouca
Casa Pia
12.0%Draw
16.0%Arouca
72.0%25
