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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Rio Ave

Chaves
0 - 0
Rio Ave


Vitoria (43'), Fernandes (69')
FT

Graca (29'), Boateng (39'), Nobrega (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, January 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 4-1 Rio Ave
Sunday, January 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-1 Rio Ave

Having both endured a disappointing first half of the season, Chaves and Rio Ave find themselves scrambling for points in the relegation zone and will head into the weekend in search of a pick-me-up. While Rio Ave are slight favourites, they have struggled to impose themselves away from home and we predict they will hold out for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ChavesDrawRio Ave
33.55% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 25.09%41.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.46% (0.012 0.01)46.53% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.19% (0.012 0.01)68.81% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.029000000000011 0.03)26.66% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (0.039000000000001 0.04)61.9% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)22.42% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.06% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)55.94% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 33.55%
    Rio Ave 41.36%
    Draw 25.08%
ChavesDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 7.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.3% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.55%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.83% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91%
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 41.36%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 1
Rio Ave
2-0
Chaves
Acevedo (64' pen.), Manuel (90+8')
Pantalon (40'), Joca (73'), Savio (90+3')

Langa (14'), Nogueira (20'), Sylla (62')
Langa (14')
Feb 26, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 22
Rio Ave
1-0
Chaves
Ronaldo (53')
Sep 5, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 5
Chaves
1-1
Rio Ave
Hernandez (32')
Acevedo (90')
Mar 8, 2019 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Chaves
1-1
Rio Ave
Niltinho (82')
William (8'), Djavan (17'), Costinha (24'), Jefferson (35')
Semedo (27')
Augusto (8'), Galeno (33'), Tarantini (36'), Coentrao (40'), Leonardo (71'), Nadjack (72')
Augusto (22')
Oct 27, 2018 6pm
Gameweek 8
Rio Ave
1-0
Chaves
Galeno (66')
Lopes (77'), Galeno (93'), Coentrao (97')

Eustaquio (49'), Paulinho (58'), Perdigao (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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