We said: Chaves 1-1 Rio Ave
Having both endured a disappointing first half of the season, Chaves and Rio Ave find themselves scrambling for points in the relegation zone and will head into the weekend in search of a pick-me-up. While Rio Ave are slight favourites, they have struggled to impose themselves away from home and we predict they will hold out for a share of the spoils.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.