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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 at 6pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Chaves

Moreirense
1 - 0
Chaves

Madson (73')
Pinto (38'), Antonisse (43'), Castro (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pius (11'), Fernandes (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Moreirense
Sunday, February 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Chaves

All competitions
Last Game: Chaves 1-1 Farense
Sunday, February 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Moreirense 2-1 Chaves

 Moreirense will be backing themselves to find their feet this weekend as they take on an out-of-sorts Chaves side who are currently languishing in the danger zone. We predict that Borges' side will continue their impressive results on home turf and claim maximum points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 24.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Moreirense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moreirense.

Result
MoreirenseDrawChaves
51.61% (-0.169 -0.17) 24.26% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 24.13% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.24% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.58% (-0.234 -0.23)48.42% (0.235 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (-0.216 -0.22)70.55% (0.21600000000001 0.22)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (-0.154 -0.15)18.75% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.86% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)50.14% (0.261 0.26)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)34.48% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)71.19% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 51.61%
    Chaves 24.13%
    Draw 24.26%
MoreirenseDrawChaves
1-0 @ 10.82% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 51.61%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.063 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 6.88% (0.057 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 24.13%

How you voted: Moreirense vs Chaves

Moreirense
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Chaves
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 4
Chaves
1-2
Moreirense
Langa (72')
Rodrigues (10'), Nwakali (56'), Victor Ferreira de Jesus (90')
Alan (3'), Camacho (84')
Frimpong (21'), Luis (45+4'), Silva (86'), Ofori (89')
> Preview
May 29, 2022 7.30pm
Moreirense
1-0
Chaves
Paulinho (25')
Rosic (15'), Jefferson (36'), Jorge (83'), Mirallas (85')

Correia (26'), Carvalho (36')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2019 3.30pm
Gameweek 30
Moreirense
0-1
Chaves

Camara (44'), Chiquinho (51'), Santos (61'), Nene (75')
Maras (72')
Maras (40'), Ghazaryan (85'), Gallo (93')
Dec 15, 2018 3.30pm
Gameweek 13
Chaves
1-2
Moreirense
Niltinho (77')
N'Diaye (60'), Aurelio (75')
Aurelio (21'), Aouacheria (36')
Feb 18, 2018 4pm
Moreirense
0-1
Chaves

Neto (22'), Edno (27'), Arsenio (82')
Belkaroui (71')
Bressan (74' pen.)
Eustaquio (65'), Melo (67'), Furlan (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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