Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 24, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
0 - 2
Casa Pia

Andre (51')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Clayton (4'), Roberto (35')
Tchamba (49'), Neto (62'), Clayton (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, February 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, February 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Casa Pia

Buoyed by their victory over Arouca, Casa Pia will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to pull clear of the danger zone. However, they take on a well-drilled Vitoria de Guimaraes side who must avoid any more slip-ups in their quest for European football. Casa Pia have struggled to impose themselves on the road and we are tipping Guimaraes to return to winning ways in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 66.48%. A draw has a probability of 20.2% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 13.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Casa Pia win it is 0-1 (4.76%).

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Casa Pia
66.48% ( -0.18)	20.18% ( 0.08)	13.34% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 46.54% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.68% (

-0.12)

47.32% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.46% (

-0.11)

69.54% (

0.1)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.66% (

-0.09)

13.34% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.78% (

-0.18)

40.21% (

0.18)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.7% (

0.08)

46.3% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.05% (

0.06)

81.95% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 66.48%

Casa Pia 13.34%

Draw 20.18%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Casa Pia
2-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 66.48%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.18%	0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.16% Total : 13.34%