Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Chaves |
46.51% ( 0.39) | 25.55% ( 0.15) | 27.94% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 52.59% ( -0.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.11% ( -0.9) | 50.89% ( 0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.23% ( -0.8) | 72.77% ( 0.8) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.13% ( -0.2) | 21.87% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.88% ( -0.3) | 55.12% ( 0.31) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.31% ( -0.88) | 32.69% ( 0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.76% ( -0.99) | 69.24% ( 0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.32% Total : 46.51% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 15 |
5 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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