Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
We said: Casa Pia 1-0 Gil Vicente
The appointment of Santos has turned Casa Pia's fortunes around for the better and they will head into the weekend with renewed confidence. Despite their impressive display against Porto, Gil Vicente have struggled for consistency in recent weeks and we are tipping Casa Pia to come away with a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.7% . A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.77%) . The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood .
Result Casa Pia Draw Gil Vicente 35.02% ( 0.66) 27.29% ( 0.25) 37.7% ( -0.91)
Both teams to score 49.94% ( -0.68)
44.44% ( -0.9) 55.56% ( 0.9)
23.27% ( -0.74) 76.73% ( 0.74)
69.86% ( -0.02) 30.14% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.71% ( -0.02) 66.29% ( 0.03)
71.49% ( -0.95) 28.51% ( 0.95)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.71% ( -1.21) 64.29% ( 1.21)
Casa Pia 35.01%
Gil Vicente 37.69%
Draw 27.29%
Casa Pia Draw Gil Vicente 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.01% 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.29% 0-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.7% Total : 37.69%
How you voted: Casa Pia vs Gil Vicente
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rhs 2.0
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