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Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Rio Ave

Farense
1 - 1
Rio Ave

Isidoro (31')
Matias (22'), Falcao (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Boateng (50')
Patrick (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions
Last Game: Vizela 2-1 Farense
Saturday, March 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-0 Braga
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 2-2 Rio Ave

 The last four meetings between Farense and Rio Ave has produced a combined 15 goals and we anticipate another end-to-end affair at the Estadio de Sao Luis this weekend. Both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawRio Ave
32.36% (-0.678 -0.68) 26.58% (-0.336 -0.34) 41.05% (1.017 1.02)
Both teams to score 51.6% (0.857 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (1.181 1.18)53.22% (-1.179 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (0.992 0.99)74.78% (-0.991 -0.99)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (0.142 0.14)30.7% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (0.166 0.17)66.96% (-0.164 -0.16)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (1.089 1.09)25.54% (-1.087 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (1.463 1.46)60.41% (-1.459 -1.46)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 32.36%
    Rio Ave 41.05%
    Draw 26.58%
SC FarenseDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 9.26% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.215 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.36%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.371 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 10.7% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.168 0.17)
0-2 @ 7.3% (0.115 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.194 0.19)
0-3 @ 3.32% (0.152 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.123 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.105 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.05%

How you voted: Farense vs Rio Ave

SC Farense
28.9%
Draw
42.1%
Rio Ave
28.9%
38
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 9
Rio Ave
3-4
Farense
Jorge (33' og.), Pereira (42'), Costinha (62' pen.)
Nobrega (31'), Pereira (47'), Graca (90+5')
Belloumi (4'), Duarte (45+2'), Falcao (89'), Costa (90+3')
Matias (44'), Duarte (57'), Jorge (81')
> Preview
Dec 13, 2022 8.45pm
Group Stage
Rio Ave
2-1
Farense
Yakubu (30', 73' pen.)
Muscat (62')
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Rio Ave
2-0
Farense
Pele (27' pen.), Camacho (70')
Geraldes (22'), Jeronimo (82')

Miguel Barreto Henriques Marques (25'), Braima Nogueira (84')
> Preview
Oct 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Farense
0-1
Rio Ave

Falcao (42'), Isidoro (63'), Mansilla (79'), Oudrhiri (83')
Mane (20')
Augusto (25'), Jeronimo (32'), Borevkovic (46'), Diego (79'), Pele (79'), Amaral (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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