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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Rio Ave

Farense
1 - 1
Rio Ave

Isidoro (31')
Matias (22'), Falcao (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Boateng (50')
Patrick (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions
Last Game: Vizela 2-1 Farense
Saturday, March 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-0 Braga
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 2-2 Rio Ave

 The last four meetings between Farense and Rio Ave has produced a combined 15 goals and we anticipate another end-to-end affair at the Estadio de Sao Luis this weekend. Both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawRio Ave
32.36% (-0.678 -0.68) 26.58% (-0.336 -0.34) 41.05% (1.017 1.02)
Both teams to score 51.6% (0.857 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (1.181 1.18)53.22% (-1.179 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (0.992 0.99)74.78% (-0.991 -0.99)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (0.142 0.14)30.7% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (0.166 0.17)66.96% (-0.164 -0.16)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (1.089 1.09)25.54% (-1.087 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (1.463 1.46)60.41% (-1.459 -1.46)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 32.36%
    Rio Ave 41.05%
    Draw 26.58%
SC FarenseDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 9.26% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.215 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.36%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.371 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 10.7% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.168 0.17)
0-2 @ 7.3% (0.115 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.194 0.19)
0-3 @ 3.32% (0.152 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.123 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.105 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.05%

How you voted: Farense vs Rio Ave

SC Farense
28.9%
Draw
42.1%
Rio Ave
28.9%
38
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 9
Rio Ave
3-4
Farense
Jorge (33' og.), Pereira (42'), Costinha (62' pen.)
Nobrega (31'), Pereira (47'), Graca (90+5')
Belloumi (4'), Duarte (45+2'), Falcao (89'), Costa (90+3')
Matias (44'), Duarte (57'), Jorge (81')
> Preview
Dec 13, 2022 8.45pm
Group Stage
Rio Ave
2-1
Farense
Yakubu (30', 73' pen.)
Muscat (62')
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Rio Ave
2-0
Farense
Pele (27' pen.), Camacho (70')
Geraldes (22'), Jeronimo (82')

Miguel Barreto Henriques Marques (25'), Braima Nogueira (84')
> Preview
Oct 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Farense
0-1
Rio Ave

Falcao (42'), Isidoro (63'), Mansilla (79'), Oudrhiri (83')
Mane (20')
Augusto (25'), Jeronimo (32'), Borevkovic (46'), Diego (79'), Pele (79'), Amaral (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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