Sporting Lisbon3 - 2Farense
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, February 29 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Saturday, February 24 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
for
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 SC Farense
Sporting could be tired after their domestic cup exertions against their city rivals Benfica, but they should possess far too much individual quality for Farense to cope with. The visitors have dipped in recent weeks after making a decent start to life back in the top flight following their promotion last season, and they would likely settle for suffering a defeat as narrow as possible. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 87.04%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 4.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 4-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.11%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | SC Farense |
87.04% ( 0.63) | 8.84% ( -0.23) | 4.12% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 46.16% ( -2.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.61% ( -1.14) | 24.39% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.88% ( -1.53) | 44.11% ( 1.53) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.34% ( -0.09) | 3.66% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 84.24% ( -0.3) | 15.75% ( 0.3) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.91% ( -2.69) | 52.09% ( 2.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.93% ( -1.83) | 86.07% ( 1.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | SC Farense |
| 3-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.62) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.63)4-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.43)5-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.19)5-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.16)6-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.26)6-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.23)7-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.16)7-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.15% Total : 87.02% | 1-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.61% Total : 8.84% | 1-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.54% Total : 4.12% |
