Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon5 - 0Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Uniao de Leiria 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, February 7 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Wednesday, February 7 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Moreirense
Sunday, February 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Braga
While Braga have been impressive this season, Sporting have been a different beast at Estadio Jose Alvalade, and a perfect record of 10 wins in 10 and averaging over three goals per 90 are difficult records to overlook. We are expecting a high-quality encounter in this one but fancy the hosts to claim the points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Braga had a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 3-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
74.47% ( -0.25) | 14.93% ( 0.19) | 10.61% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.92% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
