Uniao de Leiria0 - 3Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, January 10 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Monday, January 29 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Uniao de Leiria 0-4 Sporting Lisbon
Uniao de Leiria are in for a tough 90 minutes against a star-studded Sporting Lisbon side who are currently firing on all cylinders. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing Amorim's men to claim a comfortable victory at the Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.98%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Uniao de Leiria had a probability of 13.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Uniao de Leiria win it was 1-0 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uniao de Leiria | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
13.67% ( 0) | 19.35% | 66.98% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.13% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.01% ( -0.01) | 42.99% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.61% ( -0.01) | 65.39% ( 0) |
| Uniao de Leiria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.9% | 43.09% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.62% ( -0) | 79.37% ( -0) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.09% ( -0.01) | 11.9% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.76% ( -0.01) | 37.23% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uniao de Leiria | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 4.32% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.87% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.16% 3-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.42% Total : 13.67% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.92% Total : 19.35% | 0-2 @ 11.61% 0-1 @ 10.91% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-3 @ 8.24% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.94% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.39% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.69% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.87% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.49% Total : 66.96% |
