Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Braga2 - 1Farense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 2-4 Qarabag
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Farense 1-1 Famalicao
Saturday, February 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, February 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
29
We said: Braga 2-1 SC Farense
After a couple of underwhelming performances, this is a must-win situation for Braga to keep in touch with the European qualification places. Farense are certainly no push-over, but we fancy the hosts to pull off a home win here, albeit that it may be a slender one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 72.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 10.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 3-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | SC Farense |
72.96% ( -1.72) | 16.08% ( 0.48) | 10.96% ( 1.24) |
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( 3.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
