Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 6, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
0 - 3
Arouca

Moutinho (45+4')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Saatci (29' og.), Mujica (34', 89')
Montero (9'), Simao (46'), Santos (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Portimonense 3-5 Braga
Monday, April 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 2-1 Farense
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga are in hot form and currently on a four-match winning streak on home soil. They have also been dominant in this fixture over the years and we think this will continue on Saturday. However, we also think that Arouca will break their scoring drought in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 16.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Arouca
62.96% ( -0.06)	20.62% ( -0.23)	16.42% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 52.71% (

1.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.97% (

1.58)

43.03% (

-1.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.57% (

1.54)

65.43% (

-1.55)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.95% (

0.47)

13.05% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.37% (

0.96)

39.62% (

-0.96)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.62% (

1.33)

39.37% (

-1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.92% (

1.21)

76.07% (

-1.22)

Score Analysis

Braga 62.95%

Arouca 16.42%

Draw 20.62%

Braga	Draw	Arouca
2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.36) 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.19% Total : 62.95%	1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.62%	0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.08) Other @ 2% Total : 16.42%