MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 11:55:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Arouca

Braga
0 - 3
Arouca


Moutinho (45+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Saatci (29' og.), Mujica (34', 89')
Montero (9'), Simao (46'), Santos (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 3-5 Braga
Monday, April 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 2-1 Farense
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 3-1 Arouca

Braga are in hot form and currently on a four-match winning streak on home soil. They have also been dominant in this fixture over the years and we think this will continue on Saturday. However, we also think that Arouca will break their scoring drought in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 16.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawArouca
62.96% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 20.62% (-0.233 -0.23) 16.42% (0.292 0.29)
Both teams to score 52.71% (1.434 1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.97% (1.578 1.58)43.03% (-1.58 -1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.57% (1.543 1.54)65.43% (-1.545 -1.55)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.95% (0.473 0.47)13.05% (-0.475 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.37% (0.959 0.96)39.62% (-0.96100000000001 -0.96)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.62% (1.325 1.33)39.37% (-1.328 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.92% (1.213 1.21)76.07% (-1.215 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    Braga 62.95%
    Arouca 16.42%
    Draw 20.62%
BragaDrawArouca
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.55 -0.55)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-1 @ 6.74% (0.137 0.14)
4-0 @ 3.68% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.43% (0.129 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.173 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.114 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 62.95%
1-1 @ 9.75% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.177 0.18)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.62%
0-1 @ 4.79% (-0.159 -0.16)
1-2 @ 4.55% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.23% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.42%

How you voted: Braga vs Arouca

Braga
96.0%
Draw
0.0%
Arouca
4.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 11
Arouca
0-1
Braga

Simao (40'), Santos (88')
Djalo (36')
Moutinho (45+3'), Bruma (46'), Magalhaes (85'), Ruiz (90+3')
Feb 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 21
Braga
2-0
Arouca
Ruiz (1'), Banza (81')
Aug 28, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 4
Arouca
0-6
Braga

Fernandes (6'), Simao (38'), Milovanov (39')
Banza (1'), Horta (4', 40'), Oliveira (44'), Castro (67'), Lainez (76')
Medeiros (19'), Elmusrati (21'), Lainez (48')
May 8, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Braga
1-0
Arouca
Horta (87')

Nunes (84')
Dec 30, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 16
Arouca
0-6
Braga

Valderrama (9'), Evangelista (45+4')
Oliveira (5', 12', 26'), Medeiros (71' pen.), Fernandes (74', 80')
Couto (54'), Mineiro (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon22164259184152
2Benfica22162450183250
3Porto21134445182743
4Braga21134438201843
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2212282523238
6Casa Pia229672928133
7Estoril PraiaEstoril228772834-631
8Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes217953025530
9MoreirenseMoreirense2275102833-526
10FamalicaoFamalicao2151062224-225
11Rio AveRio Ave216782335-1225
12AroucaArouca2266102134-1324
13Nacional2265112130-923
14Gil Vicente215792332-922
15Estrela Amadora2255121934-1520
16AVS213991631-1518
17SC FarenseFarense2136121330-1715
18BoavistaBoavista2226141437-2312


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