Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Arouca |
62.96% (![]() | 20.62% (![]() | 16.42% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.71% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.97% (![]() | 43.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.57% (![]() | 65.43% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.95% (![]() | 13.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.37% (![]() | 39.62% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.62% (![]() | 39.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.92% (![]() | 76.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Arouca |
2-0 @ 10.65% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.46% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.23% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 3.19% Total : 62.95% | 1-1 @ 9.75% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.62% | 0-1 @ 4.79% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 2% Total : 16.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 18 | 41 | 52 |
2 | Benfica | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 50 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 38 |
6 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
7 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
8 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 26 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 24 |
13 | Nacional | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 20 |
16 | AVS | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 18 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |