MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 06:27:21| >> :120:30073:30073:
Qarabag
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Baki Olimpiya Stadionu
Braga

Qarabag
2 - 3
Braga

Silva (102'), Axundzada (120+2')
Romao (35'), Qurbanov (36'), Cafarquliyev (53'), Bayramov (85'), Vesovic (90+1'), Mustafazada (111')
Cafarquliyev (57')
FT
(aet)
Fernandes (70'), Djalo (83'), Banza (115' pen.)
Gomez (55'), Oliveira (86'), Djalo (100'), Ndour (110'), Banza (120+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Qarabag FK and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Braga 2-4 Qarabag
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Farense
Sunday, February 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We say: Qarabag FK 2-1 Braga (Qarabag FK to win 6-3 on aggregate)

Qarabag's first-leg win has put them in a strong position, and they will be buoyed by playing at home in front of their fans. Braga, meanwhile, continue to struggle defensively and have been misfiring in attack recently. We expect the home side to secure qualification on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%).

Result
Qarabag FKDrawBraga
29.09% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02) 22.48% (-0.012 -0.01) 48.43% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 63.95% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.68% (0.039000000000001 0.04)36.32% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.55% (0.043999999999997 0.04)58.45% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (0.0039999999999907 0)24.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.16% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)58.84%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.61% (0.031000000000006 0.03)15.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.8% (0.054000000000002 0.05)44.2% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 29.09%
    Braga 48.43%
    Draw 22.48%
Qarabag FKDrawBraga
2-1 @ 6.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.74% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.29% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.09%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.76% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 9.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 5.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.1% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 4.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.92% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
1-5 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 48.43%

How you voted: Qarabag vs Braga

Qarabag FK
58.0%
Draw
16.0%
Braga
26.0%
150
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2024 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Braga
2-4
Qarabag
Banza (44'), Moutinho (90+1' pen.)
Ruiz (45+2')
Jankovic (21' pen.), Zoubir (54', 69'), Juninho (65')
Silva (30'), Romao (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!