We said: Hacken 1-2 Qarabag FK
Hacken had a tough start to their Europa League campaign during the opening game week, and while they are playing at home this time it could still be tough for them to pick up any points.
Qarabag FK have been strong in all competitions so far, and with their impressive defensive displays, they should be able to hold out and take three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.