Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 5pm UK
Vilniaus LFF stadionas
Zalgiris1 - 3Hacken
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hacken 3-3 KI (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 2 at 6pm in Champions League
Wednesday, August 2 at 6pm in Champions League
We said: FK Zalgiris 2-1 Hacken
Despite the hosts coming into the match as the underdogs, they showed their attacking prowess in the Champions League qualifiers, where they scored twice past the heavily fancied Galatasaray in their home match. The visitors carry a strong attacking threat themselves, and we expect they will get on the scoresheet in this match, but we feel that the hosts will manage to claim an upset victory in this first-leg encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.
Result | ||
FK Zalgiris | Draw | Hacken |
33.02% | 24.7% | 42.28% |
Both teams to score 58.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.06% | 44.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.71% | 67.29% |
FK Zalgiris Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.79% | 26.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.69% | 61.31% |
Hacken Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.69% | 21.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.75% | 54.25% |
Score Analysis |
FK Zalgiris 33.02%
Hacken 42.28%
Draw 24.7%
FK Zalgiris | Draw | Hacken |
2-1 @ 7.74% 1-0 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 5.01% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.02% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.94% 0-1 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 6.68% 1-3 @ 4.61% 0-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 3.09% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.28% |
How you voted: Loser Match 1 vs Loser Match 3
Loser Match 1
51.6%Draw
19.4%Loser Match 3
29.0%31
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-29 14:32:28
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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