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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 17
Jul 29, 2023 at 2pm UK
Bravida Arena

Hacken
3 - 1
Elfsborg

Sana (25'), Rygaard Jensen (48'), Layouni (58')
Hovland (36')
Sadiq (40')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Okkels (22')
Holmen (90+3'), Baidoo (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Hacken and Elfsborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: KI 0-0 Hacken
Wednesday, July 26 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Djurgarden 0-4 Elfsborg
Saturday, July 22 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Hacken 1-1 Elfsborg

With this putting the team with the best attack against the side with the most impressive defence, we can only see a closely-fought contest. Sitting on the fence and backing a low-scoring draw seems to be the most logical bet, although do not be surprised to see either club edge the game in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 50.41%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.

Result
HackenDrawElfsborg
50.41% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1) 22.88% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 26.7% (0.099 0.1)
Both teams to score 60.5% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.98% (0.10299999999999 0.1)40.02% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.62% (0.107 0.11)62.38% (-0.107 -0.11)
Hacken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)16.05% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.58% (0.009999999999998 0.01)45.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (0.12599999999999 0.13)27.93% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.44% (0.16 0.16)63.56% (-0.16 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Hacken 50.41%
    Elfsborg 26.7%
    Draw 22.88%
HackenDrawElfsborg
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.2% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 50.41%
1-1 @ 10.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 26.7%

How you voted: Hacken vs Elfsborg

Hacken
43.8%
Draw
18.8%
Elfsborg
37.5%
16
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2023 6.10pm
Gameweek 1
Elfsborg
0-2
Hacken
Sadiq (20'), Romeo (71')
Jul 31, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 16
Elfsborg
4-4
Hacken
Hammar (5' og.), Alm (8'), Aron Gudjohnsen (54'), Ondrejka (88')
Boateng (60'), Aron Gudjohnsen (86'), Romer (90+1')
Jeremejeff (7', 50', 83'), Vaisanen (47' og.)
Jul 3, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Hacken
1-1
Elfsborg
Jeremejeff (37')
Berggren (25')
Olsson (23')
Henriksson (12'), Soderberg (68')
Sep 13, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 18
Elfsborg
4-2
Hacken
Frick (38', 61'), Larsson (63'), Aron Gudjohnsen (90+1')
Larsson (33'), Strand (65'), Frick (78')
Ekpolo (8'), Jeremejeff (52')
Ekpolo (21'), Friberg (31'), Faltsetas (72')
Jul 25, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Hacken
1-1
Elfsborg
Jeremejeff (33')
Walemark (37'), Bengtsson (45'), Faltsetas (88'), Abrahamsson (90+2')
Frick (10')
Vaisanen (2'), Strand (36'), Alm (44'), Romer (53'), McVey (90+2'), Soderberg (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30198367254265
2HammarbyHammarby30166848252354
3AIK FotbollAIK30173104641554
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30165945351053
5Mjallby AIF3014884435950
6GAISGAIS30146103634248
7ElfsborgElfsborg30136115244845
8HackenHacken30126125451342
9SiriusSirius30125134746141
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30810124653-734
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping3097143657-2134
12Halmstads BKHalmstad30103173250-1833
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30710133343-1031
14Varnamo30710133040-1031
15KalmarKalmar3086163858-2030
16Vasteras SKVasteras3065192643-1723


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