The New Saints may well dominate their domestic league, but it is a much-lower standard than the Allsvenskan, so the hosts should run out comfortable winners. In truth, the Swedish side's main aim will probably be to chalk up a lead big enough to ensure they can rest players in the second leg next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.02%) and 3-2 (5.11%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.

Result
Hacken	Draw	The New Saints
48.64% ( 1.28)	20.63% ( 0.03)	30.73% ( -1.32)

Both teams to score 72.26% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.01% (

-0.88)

25.99% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.79% (

-1.14)

46.2% (

1.14)

Hacken Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.44% (

0.05)

11.56% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.51% (

0.1)

36.49% (

-0.1)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.7% (

-1.08)

18.3% (

1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.62% (

-1.87)

49.38% (

1.87)

Score Analysis

Hacken 48.64%

The New Saints 30.73%

Draw 20.63%

Hacken	Draw	The New Saints
2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.12) 4-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.07% Total : 48.64%	1-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.63%	1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.14) 3-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.52% Total : 30.73%