Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 2, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
NEF Stadyumu
Galatasaray1 - 0Zalgiris
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zalgiris 2-2 Galatasaray
Tuesday, July 25 at 5pm in Champions League
Tuesday, July 25 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Zalgiris 2-2 Galatasaray
Tuesday, July 25 at 5pm in Champions League
Tuesday, July 25 at 5pm in Champions League
We said: Galatasaray 2-1 FK Zalgiris (Galatasaray win 4-3 on aggregate)
How the first leg unfolded demonstrates that Galatasaray cannot expect to cruise through to the third round, with Zalgiris still very much alive in this qualifying contest. After shaking off the rust in their first competitive outing, though, Gala should improve back on home soil and do just enough to edge through. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
54.82% ( 0.04) | 21.32% | 23.85% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 63.04% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.67% ( -0.04) | 35.32% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.65% ( -0.04) | 57.35% ( 0.04) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.02% ( -0.01) | 12.97% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.53% ( -0) | 39.47% |
| FK Zalgiris Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( -0.05) | 27.56% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.91% ( -0.07) | 63.08% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Galatasaray 54.82%
FK Zalgiris 23.85%
Draw 21.32%
| Galatasaray | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.54% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 54.82% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.32% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.61% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 3.67% Total : 23.85% |
How you voted: Galatasaray vs Zalgiris
Galatasaray
81.8%Draw
9.1%FK Zalgiris
9.1%33
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2023 5pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Zalgiris
2-2
Galatasaray
Form Guide
