Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2022 at 8pm UK
LFF Stadium
Zalgiris2 - 1Pyunik
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: FK Zalgiris 1-0 FC Pyunik
Zalgiris are in desperate need of a win, and we back them to do just enough to get their first Europa Conference League victory this season. Pyunik have struggled away from home in recent times, and they will find it tough going to a ground where the home side very rarely lose. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest FC Pyunik win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FK Zalgiris | Draw | FC Pyunik |
46.73% ( -0.38) | 26.14% ( -0.07) | 27.12% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 50.19% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
