Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 6pm UK
Bravida Arena
Hacken5 - 0Zalgiris
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hacken 2-0 Varbergs
Sunday, August 13 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Sunday, August 13 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Zalgiris 1-3 Hacken
Thursday, August 10 at 5pm in Europa League
Thursday, August 10 at 5pm in Europa League
We said: Hacken 2-1 FK Zalgiris
While the first leg proved to be a closely-contested encounter, we expect Hacken to control this encounter on their home patch, where they have been very impressive of late. We fancy the visitors will get on the scoresheet but feel it will not be enough to secure a victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.7%) and 1-0 (6.57%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hacken | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
52.44% ( -4.65) | 21.39% ( 1.11) | 26.16% ( 3.54) |
| Both teams to score 65.45% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.71% ( -1.61) | 33.29% ( 1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.94% ( -1.87) | 55.05% ( 1.87) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87% ( -1.85) | 13% ( 1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.48% ( -3.91) | 39.52% ( 3.91) |
| FK Zalgiris Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( 1.72) | 24.77% ( -1.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.66% ( 2.34) | 59.34% ( -2.34) |
| Score Analysis |
Hacken 52.45%
FK Zalgiris 26.16%
Draw 21.39%
| Hacken | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.41)1-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.54)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.64)3-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.54)4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.53)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.25)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.34)4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.3)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.38% Total : 52.45% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.26)0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.39% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.68) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.57)0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.53)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.44)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.3)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.57% Total : 26.16% |
How you voted: Hacken vs Zalgiris
Hacken
81.6%Draw
12.2%FK Zalgiris
6.1%49
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2023 5pm
