Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Tofik Bakhramov
Qarabag1 - 0Molde
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Molde 4-1 Odd
Saturday, September 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Saturday, September 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Goals
for
for
47
We said: Qarabag FK 2-1 Molde
Molde lost all three of their away games in Champions League qualifying, and we think that trend could continue into Thursday's fixture when they face a Qarabag side who have avoided defeat in their last 12 UEFA home games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Molde |
30.3% ( -0) | 24.6% | 45.1% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.2% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
