MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 00:04:02| >> :120:61607:61607:
Qarabag
Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Tofiq Bahramov adina Respublika stadionu (Baki (Baku))

Qarabag
2 - 1
Hacken

Andrade (1'), Benzia (45+3')
Vesovic (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Huseynov (90+4' og.)
Hovland (22'), Sonko (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Qarabag FK and Hacken, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Molde 2-2 Qarabag
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Hacken 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Qarabag FK 3-0 Hacken

Qarabag still have a need for a positive result on Thursday if they are to keep hold of second spot in their group, while Hacken have struggled to remain competitive in this year's Europa League, and we can only see them bowing out without a point following a defeat in Azerbaijan, with the hosts likely to outclass the Swedish outfit all over the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.3%) and 1-0 (4.78%). The likeliest Hacken win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Qarabag FK in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Qarabag FK.

Result
Qarabag FKDrawHacken
42.89% (-0.312 -0.31) 21.51% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 35.6% (0.353 0.35)
Both teams to score 70.96% (0.264 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.54% (0.30300000000001 0.3)28.46% (-0.304 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.69% (0.374 0.37)49.31% (-0.374 -0.37)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.68% (0.01100000000001 0.01)14.32% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.85% (0.020000000000003 0.02)42.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Hacken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (0.297 0.3)17.18% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.55% (0.52 0.52)47.45% (-0.52 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 42.89%
    Hacken 35.6%
    Draw 21.51%
Qarabag FKDrawHacken
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.78% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.67% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.27% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.33% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 42.89%
1-1 @ 8.42% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 7.21% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.74% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.46% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.51%
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.35% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.23% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.86% (0.04 0.04)
3-4 @ 1.21% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 35.6%

How you voted: Qarabag vs Hacken

Qarabag FK
82.4%
Draw
11.8%
Hacken
5.9%
51
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Hacken
0-1
Qarabag

Gustafson (89')
Juninho (70')
Jankovic (29'), Andrade (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!