Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
We said: Braga 2-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga and Vitoria de Guimaraes have enjoyed a solid start to the season and will be looking to strengthen their position in the top half of the table. Carvalhal's men boast a dominant home record against Os Vimaranenses and we are backing them to secure all three points.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.48% . A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.32%) . The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (6.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood .
Result Braga Draw Vitoria de Guimaraes 50.48% ( -0.25) 23.83% ( 0.21) 25.69% ( 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.27% ( -0.65)
54.83% ( -0.88) 45.17% ( 0.88)
32.49% ( -0.85) 67.52% ( 0.85)
82.05% ( -0.42) 17.95% ( 0.43)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 51.22% ( -0.74) 48.78% ( 0.74)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
68.58% ( -0.43) 31.42% ( 0.44)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.2% ( -0.5) 67.8% ( 0.51)
Braga 50.48%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 25.69%
Draw 23.82%
Braga Draw Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.59% Total : 50.48% 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.82% 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 25.69%
How you voted: Braga vs Guimaraes
Braga
Draw
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
14.6%
48
rhs 2.0
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