Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stade de Geneve
Servette1 - 2Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Servette 0-6 Basel
Sunday, August 11 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, August 11 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, August 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, August 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Servette 1-2 Braga (Braga win 2-1 on aggregate)
A change of management may get Braga back on track, while Servette's weekend thrashing will have dented morale in the Swiss side's camp: given the visitors' greater experience they should progress, with their hosts bound for the Conference League playoffs. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Servette had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Servette win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | Braga |
32.05% ( -0.24) | 24.38% ( -0.53) | 43.56% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 58.79% ( 1.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
