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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Estoril

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Estoril

Andres Ramirez (32')
Villanueva (10'), Borevkovic (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Begraoui (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-0 FC Zurich
Thursday, August 15 at 8.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Estoril 1-4 Santa Clara
Sunday, August 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Estoril Praia

Despite their midweek exertions in Europe, Vitoria are backed to continue their unblemished start to the new season, thus notching a sixth consecutive victory over an Estoril side that have seemingly not resolved the defensive issues from the previous campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawEstoril Praia
61.42% (0.144 0.14) 22.33% (0.023 0.02) 16.24% (-0.165 -0.16)
Both teams to score 46.92% (-0.408 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42% (-0.362 -0.36)50.58% (0.364 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5% (-0.32 -0.32)72.5% (0.32299999999999 0.32)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)16% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (-0.14 -0.14)45.31% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.86% (-0.431 -0.43)44.14% (0.433 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.76% (-0.355 -0.36)80.24% (0.35599999999999 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 61.42%
    Estoril Praia 16.24%
    Draw 22.33%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 12.94% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 11.86% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.25% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.32% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 61.42%
1-1 @ 10.58%
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 22.33%
0-1 @ 5.77% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.33% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 16.24%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Estoril

Vitoria de Guimaraes
89.3%
Draw
7.1%
Estoril Praia
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 24
Estoril
1-3
Guimaraes
Marques (69' pen.)
Marques (45+3')
Mendes (8'), Silva (22'), Oliveira (42')
Ribeiro (28'), Silva (55'), Charles (87'), Andre (90+5'), Handel (90+1')
Oct 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Guimaraes
3-2
Estoril
Silva (56'), Mendes (69'), Safira (90+3' pen.)
Mendes (28'), Silva (53'), Silva (54'), Silva (70')
Araujo (12'), Gomes (20')
Feltes (11'), Fernandes (53'), Carlos (87'), Vital (90+9')
Holsgrove (40')
Feb 4, 2023 8.30pm
Aug 14, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Guimaraes
1-0
Estoril
Silva (16')
Silva (34'), Silva (41'), Almeida (71')

Joaozinho (14'), Arthur (39'), Esteves (43'), Lea Siliki (87')
Esteves (60')
Jan 23, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 19
Guimaraes
3-1
Estoril
Rochinha (61'), Estupinan (69', 90+3')
Borevkovic (43'), Soares (63'), Trmal (79'), Duarte (90+2')
Franco (29')
Ferraresi (25'), Thiago (53'), Gamboa (59')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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