Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Estoril Praia
Despite their midweek exertions in Europe, Vitoria are backed to continue their unblemished start to the new season, thus notching a sixth consecutive victory over an Estoril side that have seemingly not resolved the defensive issues from the previous campaign.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 61.42% . A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16.24% .
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.7%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%) , while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (5.77%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result Vitoria de Guimaraes Draw Estoril Praia 61.42% ( 0.14) 22.33% ( 0.02) 16.24% ( -0.16)
Both teams to score 46.92% ( -0.41)
49.42% ( -0.36) 50.58% ( 0.36)
27.5% ( -0.32) 72.5% ( 0.32)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
84% ( -0.08) 16% ( 0.08)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 54.69% ( -0.14) 45.31% ( 0.14)
55.86% ( -0.43) 44.14% ( 0.43)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 19.76% ( -0.36) 80.24% ( 0.36)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 61.42%
Estoril Praia 16.24%
Draw 22.33%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Draw Estoril Praia 1-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 61.42% 1-1 @ 10.58% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.73% Total : 22.33% 0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.52% Total : 16.24%
How you voted: Guimaraes vs Estoril
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Draw
Estoril Praia
Vitoria de Guimaraes
89.3%
28
rhs 2.0
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