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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Estoril

Chaves
2 - 2
Estoril

Correia (32'), Morim (90+20')
Carraca (1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Basso (58'), Garcia (71')
Alvaro (62')
Araujo (2'), Alvaro (90+12'), Carne (90+12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Chaves
Monday, April 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Braga
Saturday, April 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-1 Estoril Praia

Chaves picked up three huge points in their battle at the bottom end of the table last time out and will head into this weekend with renewed confidence. However, both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Chaves win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ChavesDrawEstoril Praia
34.26% (-1.135 -1.14) 25.02% (-0.262 -0.26) 40.72% (1.395 1.4)
Both teams to score 57.31% (0.689 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.92% (0.989 0.99)46.08% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.62% (0.928 0.93)68.38% (-0.929 -0.93)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (-0.196 -0.2)26.01% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.96% (-0.264 -0.26)61.04% (0.263 0.26)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (1.136 1.14)22.54% (-1.135 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (1.665 1.67)56.12% (-1.666 -1.67)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 34.26%
    Estoril Praia 40.72%
    Draw 25.02%
ChavesDrawEstoril Praia
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-0 @ 7.9% (-0.382 -0.38)
2-0 @ 5.32% (-0.288 -0.29)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 34.26%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.02%
1-2 @ 8.76% (0.173 0.17)
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.163 0.16)
1-3 @ 4.35% (0.226 0.23)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.185 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.137 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.135 0.14)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.107 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.72%

How you voted: Chaves vs Estoril

Chaves
35.7%
Draw
35.7%
Estoril Praia
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 13
Estoril
4-0
Chaves
Gomes (6', 61'), Marques (70'), Tavares (90+2')
Araujo (35'), Marques (45'), Holsgrove (49'), Alvaro (90+1')

Rodrigues (57'), Langa (74'), Morim (90+1')
Mar 18, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Estoril
0-2
Chaves
Vitoria (31' pen.), Teixeira (71' pen.)
Oct 1, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 8
Chaves
1-1
Estoril
Hernandez (39')
Martins (76')
Feb 25, 2018 4pm
Chaves
2-0
Estoril
William (17'), Pereira (84')
Pereira (29'), Ferreira (83'), Eustaquio (88')

Rodrigues (32'), Kyriakou (78'), Ribeiro (80')
Sep 23, 2017 4pm
Estoril
0-2
Chaves

Lucao (61'), Evangelista (90')
Bressan (39'), Djavan (68')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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