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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Portimonense

Chaves
2 - 3
Portimonense

Hernandez (25' pen.), Correia (76')
Carraca (14'), Essugo (21')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carlinhos (72'), Cassama (83'), Formiga (90+1')
Martins (45+1'), Guzzo (68'), Ventura (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Chaves
Friday, March 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 3-5 Braga
Monday, April 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-0 Portimonense

Desperate for points, relegation-battling Chaves hold a slight home advantage against winless Portimonense. Despite Chaves' poor form, their home record against Portimonense is strong. We expect a close encounter but the hope side are likely to edge this affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 42%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
ChavesDrawPortimonense
42% (0.45 0.45) 24.83% (-0.134 -0.13) 33.16% (-0.319 -0.32)
Both teams to score 57.65% (0.358 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (0.507 0.51)45.51% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (0.481 0.48)67.84% (-0.483 -0.48)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (0.42899999999999 0.43)21.67% (-0.433 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19% (0.656 0.66)54.81% (-0.65799999999999 -0.66)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (0.049999999999997 0.05)26.4% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (0.065999999999995 0.07)61.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 42.01%
    Portimonense 33.16%
    Draw 24.83%
ChavesDrawPortimonense
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.055 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 42.01%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.155 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 33.16%

How you voted: Chaves vs Portimonense

Chaves
61.5%
Draw
38.5%
Portimonense
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 11
Portimonense
2-1
Chaves
Varela (14'), Carrillo (38')
Tornich (48'), Carlinhos (63'), Dener (85'), Amorim (89')
Sousa (87')
Correia (22'), Souza (90+6')
Mar 11, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 24
Chaves
2-0
Portimonense
Juninho (31'), Abass (73')
Sep 16, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 7
Portimonense
1-0
Chaves
Estrela (19' pen.)
Jan 29, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 19
Portimonense
0-1
Chaves

Tormena (32'), Martinez (53'), Possignolo (55'), Paulinho (90')
Costinha (38')
Filipe (42'), Jefferson (54'), Campi (61'), Sen (73'), Maras (90'), Lionn (95')
Aug 18, 2018 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Chaves
2-0
Portimonense
Marcao (27' pen.), Perdigao (31')
Paulinho (45'), Eustaquio (59'), Melo (70')

Nakajima (15'), Ewerton (23'), Manafa (42'), Lazaroni (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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