Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 2-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Braga |
18.19% (![]() | 20.7% (![]() | 61.1% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.15% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.72% (![]() | 40.28% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.34% (![]() | 62.66% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.35% (![]() | 35.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.58% (![]() | 72.42% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.27% (![]() | 12.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.02% (![]() | 38.97% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Braga |
2-1 @ 4.98% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.71% ( ![]() Other @ 2.65% Total : 18.19% | 1-1 @ 9.65% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.7% | 1-2 @ 9.94% (![]() 0-2 @ 9.64% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 9.36% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.83% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.62% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 3.58% Total : 61.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 18 | 41 | 52 |
2 | Benfica | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 50 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 38 |
6 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
7 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
8 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 26 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 24 |
13 | Nacional | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 20 |
16 | AVS | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 18 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |