We said: Vizela 2-1 Chaves
While both these sides have been incredibly poor over the course of the season, Vizela have to be favoured here owing to this being a home game. They have also found some goalscoring form at Estadio Do Vizela lately, notching up five goals in their last three games, and we feel that they will be able to outscore Chaves, who have failed to find the back of the net in three of their last four on the road.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.