Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto4 - 1Vizela
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Porto (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Vizela 2-1 Farense
Saturday, March 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Porto 2-0 Vizela
Reeling from their midweek European disappointment, Porto will head into Saturday's game in search of a pick-me-up. Conceicao's men have been imperious in this fixture, and given the gulf in quality and experience between the two teams, we are backing them to claim a comfortable victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 3-0 (10.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Vizela |
76.06% ( 0.24) | 15.59% ( -0.1) | 8.34% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 44.01% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.15% ( 0) | 40.85% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.76% ( 0) | 63.24% ( -0) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.97% ( 0.06) | 9.03% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.26% ( 0.14) | 30.74% ( -0.14) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.38% ( -0.32) | 51.61% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.25% ( -0.21) | 85.75% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
Porto 76.05%
Vizela 8.34%
Draw 15.59%
| Porto | Draw | Vizela |
| 2-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 4.3% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.51% Total : 76.05% | 1-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0)2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.58% Total : 15.59% | 0-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.79% Total : 8.34% |
How you voted: Porto vs Vizela
Porto
93.1%Draw
3.4%Vizela
3.4%29
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 6pm
Dec 16, 2022 8.30pm
