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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Santa Clara

Estoril
1 - 4
Santa Clara

Marques (19')
Pina (49'), Orellana (55'), Alvaro (79'), Mangala (80'), Safira (82'), Zanocelo (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lopes (44'), Safira (70' pen.), Antonio (74'), Pedro Augusto Mourao Costa (84')
Soares (34'), Lopes (41'), Safira (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 1-1 Estoril
Saturday, August 3 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Benfica B 1-3 Santa Clara
Saturday, August 3 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Estoril Praia 1-0 Santa Clara

It will be interesting to see how Santa Clara start the season after an impressive Liga Portugal 2 campaign. However, Estoril were a difficult team to beat on their home patch last season and we feel they will get the new off to a winning start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 27.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawSanta Clara
27.14% (-0.565 -0.57) 27.17% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 45.7% (0.606 0.61)
Both teams to score 47.26% (-0.258 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.47% (-0.147 -0.15)57.53% (0.147 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.68% (-0.116 -0.12)78.32% (0.116 0.12)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.12% (-0.54499999999999 -0.54)36.88% (0.544 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33% (-0.548 -0.55)73.67% (0.54599999999999 0.55)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87% (0.23399999999999 0.23)25.13% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.16% (0.323 0.32)59.84% (-0.324 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 27.14%
    Santa Clara 45.69%
    Draw 27.16%
Estoril PraiaDrawSanta Clara
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.61% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.12% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 27.14%
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.27% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 12.8% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 8.84% (0.167 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.07% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 45.69%

How you voted: Estoril vs Santa Clara

Estoril Praia
51.4%
Draw
28.6%
Santa Clara
20.0%
35
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 30
Estoril
3-0
Santa Clara
Marques (17'), Eduardo (34' pen.), Martins (89')
Nov 14, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 13
Santa Clara
3-1
Estoril
Gonzalez (23'), Babi (43'), Boateng (70')
Apr 10, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 29
Santa Clara
2-0
Estoril
Antonio (44'), Tagawa (53')
Antonio (64'), Henrique (80')

Ferraresi (89')
Nov 29, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 12
Estoril
2-2
Santa Clara
Rosier (24'), Franco (88' pen.)
Acevedo (54'), Soria (57')
Lincoln (15'), Crysan (64')
Nene (18'), Morita (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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