Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto2 - 1Farense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Porto
Saturday, August 31 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, August 31 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Farense
Sunday, September 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Porto 3-0 SC Farense
Porto are resounding favourites to beat statistically one of the worst sides in the division in 2024, as they look to bounce back from losing to Sporting before the international break. A side that have let in 10 goals from four games stands little chance at the Dragao, and we are backing the 30-time champions to record a comfortable victory and extend their eight-match winning streak over this weekend's opponents. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 83.82%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 5.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.11%) and 4-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.25%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | SC Farense |
83.82% ( -0.31) | 11.05% ( 0.16) | 5.14% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 43.4% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.47% ( 0.01) | 31.53% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.99% ( 0.01) | 53.01% ( -0.01) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.59% ( -0.05) | 5.41% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 78.8% ( -0.16) | 21.2% ( 0.16) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.88% ( 0.59) | 54.12% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.65% ( 0.36) | 87.35% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
Porto 83.81%
SC Farense 5.14%
Draw 11.05%
| Porto | Draw | SC Farense |
| 2-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 12.11% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 3.16% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 83.81% | 1-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 2.93% ( -0)2-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.52% Total : 11.05% | 0-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.73% Total : 5.14% |
How you voted: Porto vs Farense
Porto
88.9%Draw
8.3%SC Farense
2.8%36
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 6pm
Jan 25, 2021 8.15pm
Form Guide
